The Sleeper Provision within the Reconciliation Invoice That May Hobble the ACA Marketplaces



By Jason Levitis and Christen Linke-Younger*

The Methods & Means Committee’s provisions on Market protection within the reconciliation invoice embrace one particularly complicated part (sec. 112201) that might have main penalties and essential interactions with the remainder of the bundle. The availability’s title (“Requiring Alternate Verification of Eligibility for Well being Plan”) undersells its significance, since Exchanges–additionally referred to as Marketplaces–are already required to confirm eligibility for well being protection and monetary help. The truth is, this provision would make profound adjustments to each Market enrollment processes and eligibility for the ACA’s subsidies that assist 22.4 million individuals afford Market protection.

Sec. 112201 amends the eligibility guidelines in part 36B of the Tax Code, which created the premium tax credit score–the ACA’s main subsidy to assist individuals buy protection. These adjustments would additionally carry over to slender eligibility for cost-sharing reductions (CSRs), the ACA’s main subsidy to assist Market enrollees with deductibles and different cost-sharing.

Sec. 112201 makes two essential adjustments to subsidy eligibility guidelines. First, it eliminates passive reenrollment, which 10.8 million individuals relied on to enroll in 2025. Second, it eliminates provisional eligibility, which permits candidates to obtain monetary help for a restricted time interval whereas the Market works to substantiate they’re eligible. These provisions on their very own would trigger a major variety of individuals to lose medical health insurance, however, crucially, they’ll have even bigger impacts if enacted concurrently different adjustments being contemplated by the Home Vitality & Commerce Committee. 

This piece is a deep dive into this part, how it could be carried out, its implications, and its interplay with the opposite well being care provisions of the reconciliation bundle.

Eliminating Passive Reenrollment

The availability contains extraordinarily consequential language that—within the phrases of the Joint Committee on Taxation—“prohibits passive reenrollment” into well being protection by the Market with monetary help. Particularly, beneath this provision, each Market enrollee who receives APTC should take an energetic step a while between August 1 and December 15 so as to retain monetary help (and, in all probability, well being protection) for the approaching 12 months.

Present Legislation

Underneath present regulation, the Market permits customers to be mechanically reenrolled into medical health insurance for the approaching 12 months, which is analogous to how reenrollment works for different sorts of medical health insurance. Shoppers are inspired to return to the Market web site throughout the annual Open Enrollment Interval (OEP) to replace their data and make sure their plan choice. But when they fail to take action, on or round December 15 the Market processes an automated (or passive) reenrollment efficient for January 1, such that their protection mechanically continues for the approaching 12 months. APTC for the reenrollment is usually calculated utilizing the identical earnings parameters because the prior 12 months if the patron has given consent for the Market to entry their most up-to-date tax data.a For 2025, 10.8 million individuals — 54% of returning customers — have been passively reenrolled into their protection, the overwhelming majority of them receiving APTC. 

The Proposal 

The laws would prohibit passive reenrollment for monetary help. Particularly, the laws establishes a brand new system the place the Market should use data it obtains from enrollees after August 1 so as to confirm their protection for the approaching 12 months. If the enrollee has not offered data after that date, then there isn’t any qualifying data that the Market can use to find out eligibility; due to this fact, the Market can not present APTC. In apply, this implies the Market would course of a brand new enrollment for such a person with APTC eliminated, such that the person would owe the total premium for protection efficient January 1.

Implications

If this coverage have been to grow to be regulation, Marketplaces would usually be anticipated to conduct outreach to customers to encourage them to offer up to date eligibility data annually. Many would take motion throughout the OEP (as they do at present) and a few further increment of customers are prone to go to the Market between August 1 and the beginning of open enrollment to offer the mandatory data.

Nonetheless, expertise to-date suggests tens of millions of customers might see their APTC stripped for failure to actively reenroll.b As famous, in 2025 greater than 10.8 million customers have been passively reenrolled into protection. This determine varies by state and kind of Market: on common state-based Marketplaces passively reenrolled 73% of enrollees, and the determine was as excessive as 90% in some states. The federal Market has traditionally had decrease charges of passive reenrollment (46% in 2025), nevertheless it skilled a major enhance within the share of customers who have been passively reenrolled throughout this previous open enrollment.c

Definitely, steep new penalties for passive reenrollment would change conduct. Nevertheless, experimental proof signifies that there’s purpose to be cautious in regards to the skill to affect customers’ propensity in the direction of energetic reenrollment. Particularly, one state-based Market examined e mail outreach methods for a subset of customers who didn’t qualify for passive reenrollment with out further motion, and located that ongoing e mail outreach elevated energetic conduct by solely two share factors, with 40 % of customers failing to take the wanted steps. Whereas there are essential variations between this inhabitants and the total group focused by Part 112201, it’s nonetheless related proof suggestive of serious protection losses.

Interactions with Vitality & Commerce Insurance policies

This provision has interactions with a proposal from the Vitality & Commerce committee that shortens the annual Open Enrollment Interval for the Market. Particularly, beneath present laws, the OEP runs by January 15 of the calendar 12 months, so people have the primary two weeks of January to “repair” any points that got here up within the means of reenrollment and choose a brand new plan for protection efficient February 1. 

Take into account a state of affairs the place the provisions in Part 112201 have been to grow to be regulation with no change to OEP guidelines: A person fails to conduct the wanted steps previous to December 15, and due to this fact her protection for January has no APTC connected. Within the second half of December she receives a invoice from the insurer for the total premium of, e.g., $620 as an alternative of the $115 she was used to paying after APTC, fails to pay the invoice, and loses protection efficient January 1. Luckily, she has till January 15 to return to the Market, present the mandatory information to show her eligibility, and begin a brand new enrollment with APTC efficient February 1. She has misplaced one month of protection however can retain enrollment for the remainder of the 12 months.

Nevertheless, the Vitality & Commerce laws requires that the OEP finish on December 15. Due to this fact, this identical hypothetical shopper has no alternative to set off a brand new enrollment for February 1 throughout the OEP. Additional, the lack of protection she skilled doesn’t set off a Particular Enrollment Interval (SEP) beneath any current SEP pathways.d Due to this fact, so as to have protection for February and future months (with restarted APTC), she usually should pay the total premium for the month of January. If she can not make that full January fee — 5 occasions bigger than her typical month-to-month fee — she usually can have no protection in any respect for the remainder of the 12 months. 

Thus, the potential protection loss related to this legislative change is way better when it’s paired with legislative adjustments to the OEP. By shortening the OEP and taking away essentially the most significant alternative to remediate the lack of APTC, the mixed coverage will imply that almost all people who find themselves snared on December 15 will in the end find yourself with out protection. 

Eliminating Provisional Eligibility

The invoice would for the primary time deny APTC when the Market wants extra time to make an eligibility dedication. Many customers could be unable to keep away from this state of affairs, leading to attrition from greater premiums.

Present Legislation

Underneath the ACA, the Market usually makes real-time eligibility determinations utilizing trusted information sources (e.g. tax information), in order that people can usually apply for and enroll in protection in a single sitting. People who apply by the fifteenth of the month can usually begin protection on the primary day of the next month. People should =submit eligibility data each after they apply to enroll and likewise in the event that they expertise a “change in circumstances,” equivalent to a change in earnings or family dimension, later within the 12 months.

When an applicant attests to eligibility data that’s inconsistent with trusted information sources. (for instance, as a result of the person’s earnings has modified since their most up-to-date tax return), the Market asks for added data to resolve the inconsistency. Such inconsistencies can occur for a number of causes, together with adjustments in earnings, adjustments in household composition, and delays in authorities businesses’ processing kinds. This prolonged and handbook verification course of–known as a “information matching challenge” or DMI–can take months to resolve whereas the applicant acquires the mandatory documentation from an employer or different supply, submits it to the Market, and  a Market workers particular person processes and verifies the knowledge offered. Greater than half of earnings DMIs take over 60 days to resolve.

Whereas a DMI is being resolved, the ACA gives that candidates are given “provisional eligibility” for enrollment and advance PTC funds (APTC) for a restricted time interval. Provisional eligibility is usually restricted to 90 days.e In 2022, earlier than the Biden administration carried out operational adjustments that diminished the overall variety of DMIs, the federal Market processed 6.3 million DMIs.

The Proposal

The proposal would make candidates ineligible for APTC till the Market makes a ultimate eligibility dedication–successfully eliminating provisional eligibility for APTC. Consequently, people going through DMIs couldn’t obtain APTC whereas the method performs out. The prohibition on APTC applies to each purposes for enrollment and likewise to people reporting adjustments in circumstances. The availability is written to show off APTC eligibility on the household degree (by offering that the month in query is now not a “protection month” for the household), so a DMI in regards to the earnings or immigration standing of 1 member of the family would deny APTC to your entire household. 

The results of this alteration might be mitigated by the brand new requirement that Marketplaces set up a “pre-enrollment verification course of,” which permits candidates to return to the Market as early as August 1 of the prior 12 months to “confirm…the applicant’s eligibility.”f

Implications

By eliminating provisional eligibility for APTC, the proposal would require many Market enrollees to pay the total unsubsidized premium till their DMI is resolved–a course of that would take months. New enrollees would face a a lot bigger “binder fee” to enroll. Present enrollees would lose the safety of the ACA’s “grace interval” and so might be dropped from protection. Both means, people who can’t afford (or select to not pay) the bigger premium will lose their enrollment alternative till the following open enrollment interval. Paying the total premiums out of pocket for a number of months will not be an choice for a lot of customers, as 59% of Individuals should not have financial savings to cowl a $1,000 surprising expense.

The availability would usually have an effect on solely people whose utility data doesn’t match authorities information sources. Nevertheless, this contains many tens of millions of enrollees annually.

The pre-enrollment verification course of will present a chance to keep away from APTC loss for a particular subset of enrollees: those that know in late summer season that they wish to enroll throughout the open enrollment interval. It will present no assist for anybody enrolling on a distinct timeline, anybody experiencing a change in circumstances, and people not targeted on medical health insurance enrollment in late summer season. For instance, customers in a number of widespread eventualities would be sure or extremely prone to be denied APTC:

Newborns. The proposal would deny APTC to just about all households enrolling newborns. That’s as a result of it usually takes 1 to six weeks after delivery earlier than the Social Safety Administration provides newborns a social safety quantity (SSN) and a further 2 weeks for folks to obtain their little one’s SSN card within the mail, at which level they would wish to submit this data to the Market and look forward to it to be processed. Shoppers who don’t present an SSN on their utility mechanically generate a DMI. Since sec. 112201 denies APTC on the household degree, such a DMI would reduce off any APTC the household was beforehand receiving.

Folks getting married or divorced. The proposal would deny APTC to most people who get married or divorced throughout a 12 months and report their change in circumstance to the Market. Marriage and divorce usually result in earnings adjustments requiring the Market to carry out a brand new eligibility verification. And the earnings of these not too long ago married or divorced can usually not be verified utilizing trusted information sources, because the IRS returns data solely when there’s an ideal match of the tax submitting unit. Consequently, a terrific a lot of them will find yourself in a DMI and thus be denied APTC for some months.

Folks dropping jobs. People dropping jobs usually want protection instantly, and the Marketplaces usually supply a 60-day restricted window for them to enroll. However they’re prone to face a DMI, since their anticipated earnings is commonly decrease than was reported on their most up-to-date tax return. Consequently, such people (and their households) will usually be denied APTC for no less than some time after they attempt to enroll. If their DMI shouldn’t be resolved throughout their 60-day enrollment interval, they may lose entry to protection till the following plan 12 months. 

Folks experiencing earnings adjustments. People who expertise earnings adjustments throughout the 12 months are required to report it to the Alternate. If their newly attested earnings doesn’t match their current tax return, that can set off a DMI, denying them APTC for some months.

Interactions with Vitality & Commerce Insurance policies

The Vitality & Commerce Committee’s invoice contains a number of provisions that might enhance the results of eliminating provisional eligibility. All of those sections codify laws proposed by CMS in March, so even when the Vitality & Commerce provisions will not be included within the ultimate legislative bundle, they’re prone to be carried out. 

First, the Vitality & Commerce invoice contains two provisions that might considerably enhance the prevalence of DMIs, which in flip would immediately enhance the variety of individuals denied APTC whereas the Market verifies their eligibility. CMS estimated that the March proposed rule would end in 2.7 million extra DMIs with 2.1 million DMIs being created as a result of no tax information is returnedg and 548,000 as a result of tax information returns lower than 100% FPL. Creating tens of millions of further DMIs will even seemingly sluggish the method of resolving DMIs, particularly given current staffing cuts. 

Second, the Vitality & Commerce invoice would reduce particular enrollment durations (SEPs) and restrict SBMs’ authority to create new ones. Consequently, if customers denied APTC can not afford their unsubsidized binder fee, they’d be much less prone to have one other alternative to enroll.

Lastly, the Vitality & Commerce invoice would allow plans to completely deny protection to customers with past-due premiums–a state of affairs that’s way more seemingly with out provisional eligibility for APTC.

Conclusion

The implications of part 112201 could be far-reaching and long-lasting, ought to it grow to be regulation. Greater than 22 million individuals will face appreciable new paperwork burdens so as to preserve their Market protection at an inexpensive premium. Mixed with current cuts to Market Navigators and name middle caseworkers and shorter enrollment home windows, many of those persons are prone to lose their protection; in some instances the protection loss might be long-term.

* Jason Levitis is a Senior Fellow with the Well being Coverage Division of the City Institute; Christen Linke-Younger is a Visiting Fellow on the Brookings’ Middle on Well being Coverage.

Editor’s Notice: This weblog was up to date on Could 20, 2025 to make minor editorial adjustments.

a Shoppers are required to report adjustments in earnings and different eligibility parameters that happen throughout the 12 months, so the knowledge on file with the Market ought to usually be present.

b The precise share of this group receiving APTC shouldn’t be publicly out there, however one would anticipate it to be fairly giant: 92% of all enrollees obtain APTC.

c Such a rise was seemingly the results of further necessities put in place throughout open enrollment that required new course of steps for customers utilizing new brokers and brokers to actively reenroll. This alteration ensures that brokers and brokers will not be inappropriately focusing on customers they don’t have a previous relationship with, however has additionally resulted in decrease numbers of energetic reenrollments, a pattern that will proceed in future years.

d Whereas there’s usually an SEP for lack of minimal important protection, that SEP shouldn’t be out there when the protection loss is the results of “failure to pay premiums,” as it could be on this case. Nor can she qualify beneath the present SEP for people who’re newly eligible for premium tax credit, as a result of the Market will take into account her “eligible” for PTC in January based mostly on her earnings and different eligibility components, despite the fact that she can not really obtain PTC for January as a result of she has failed to offer the mandatory data.

e Present guidelines present an automated extension to 150 days, however that’s on monitor to be revoked by different provisions of the invoice and by proposed CMS laws.

f This may be understood as “triggering” the DMI in August for January 1 protection, which permits a while for the DMI to be resolved, but additionally eliminates passive reenrollment as described above.

g Massachusetts has reported that the IRS fails to return earnings data for about 40% of its candidates.

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